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South Bay

Real Estate Market, Valmonte Homes

In Escrow: 4209 Via Pinzon, Plus 2 Insights to Today’s Buyers

September 30, 2016
4209 Via Pinzon - High Res-004

4209 Via Pinzon - High Res-004

After 2 months of solid activity, 4209 Via Pinzon is in escrow.  This is a great home and the buyers are looking forward to joining this great community.

There are 2 things we have learned over the last 60 days between agent feedback and comments during open houses and meeting with potential buyers that merits sharing, especially if you are considering buying or selling a home in the next 6 – 12 months.

  1. The market is still full of buyers, but they have grown more patient in the last several months.  This is evident in the increased time homes are taking to sell – not just in Valmonte, but throughout the South Bay and Palos Verdes.  With over 300 visitors through the house, it is clear that Valmonte is still generating a lot of interest, but buyers know what they want and are willing to wait for the right property at the right price.  4 months ago, there was half the inventory and a general fear that you may have to wait another 6 months to find a home if you don’t act quickly.  That has certainly changed.
  2. After 43% appreciation over the last 4 years, buyers are beginning to ask the question, how much longer can prices go up?  This is a rational and understandable question given homeowner’s memory of the market crash from 2008 through 2012.  My last post covered this topic in greater detail, but it’s worth addressing again.  A recent statement by CAR  Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young addressed the market by saying “I think we’re getting close to the peak of the market, but we haven’t really had a stellar recovery either.” She went on to address the potential for declines by saying “It’s really going to be more of a slow squeeze than a big drop.”  The market fundamentals are still in place for continued price appreciation, but history tells us that growth cycles typically last 4-5 years and we’re already 4 years in.

So what should you make of all this?  I’m advising my clients on the sell side that the window of opportunity to take advantage of equity appreciation is starting to wind down, but as long as interest rates remain low, there will still be plenty of buyers around.  On the buy side, I’m advising clients that if it’s the right house for your needs and it’s in your budget, it’s worth taking action.  And if the house has been on the market more than 90 days, the next few months may be the best time to take advantage of seller frustration and negotiate the price.

If you need help putting a real estate plan together, send me an email and I’ll create a customized plan for your needs.

Until next time…see you in the neighborhood!

 

Valmonte Homes

3rd Quarter Valmonte Real Estate Market Report: Spoiler Alert: Prices Are Reaching New Highs!

October 16, 2015

Is it really fall?  It’s hard to believe amidst 85 degree weather that we’re getting ready for the days to slow down, stocking up on candy for the trick-or-treaters, and thinking about the coming holidays.  But like the weather, the real estate values in Valmonte are headed towards all-time highs.  The average sales price through September 30th is a record $1.546m – up over 14% from 2014.  On top of that, there have already been 45 sales through September 30th this year, compared to 34 homes sold in all of 2014.  Historically speaking, on a price/foot basic, prices have rallied 28% from market lows set in 2012 ($509/foot); however, the average price/foot is off 11% from market highs set in 2005 ($729/foot) and 2006 ($728/foot).

3025 PV Dr North

Ericson Beach Real Estate Listing – 3025 Palos Verdes Drive North

How long does it take for a house to sell?  Average days on market (DOM) for sold homes is trending downward to 42 days for listings sold in the last three months.  This is down from an average of 102 DOM in January.  This decrease in DOM can be attributed to seasonal averages.  However, compared to 2014, the DOM has actually increased.  The longer days on market can be attributed to higher overall prices for the area as well as more available inventory.  Closing prices compared to asking price have returned to 98% of asking, an indicator that on average, houses are being marketed at fair prices.  Year over year this number has improved from 94%.

What’s ahead? Locally, demand remains steady, and as high prices in the South Bay beach cities continue to price out buyers, Palos Verdes Estates and surrounding areas can expect to see continued buyer interest.  What are the potential challenges? Price growth in the short term may face headwinds with rising mortgage interest rates and a limited number of qualified buyers as prices continue to climb while wages and job growth wane.  The result – we’ll likely see a leveling off in prices until more qualified buyers enter the market.

Valmonte Market Statistics

# of Homes Price Range Ave $/foot Average price
Active listings 10 $1.338m – $2.295m $770/foot $1,714,200
In Escrow 3 $1.475m – $1.699m $620/foot $1,574,333
Sold 45 $799k – $2.625m $656/foot $1,546,067
2014 Sales 34 $865k-$2.299m $656/foot $1,354,569